Sunday, November 15, 2009

TURNING POINTS FOR 16.11.2009


Charts: SBI - SAIL - RELIANCE


Charts : MARUTI - ICICI BANK - NIFTY FUTURE EOD


NIFTY FUTURE 30 MIN
NIFTY FUTURE:
Friday's trading was a relatively narrow trading day, with Nifty Future going sideways for better part of the day. The positive thing to be read form this type of movement is, that the market does not want to go down. Moreover, the weekly close is also suggesting up move, as the close has been near higher levels of the week.
For tomorrow's trading, market can be expected to open strong. Nifty Future may be bought in the opening session with Stop Loss of 4990. Above 5050, Nifty Future will face Resistance at 5075 -5100 and 5165. Level of 5075 could end up as a major hurdle.
On lower side first sign of weakness will be if Nifty trades below 4950. Below that it will find support @ 4900 and there after we can quickly see the levels of 4835.
Stochastics on EOD chart is over bought and hence Nifty Future may retrace after touching 5075.. Hence long positions should be trailed with reference to tomorrow's opening levels.
Put Call Ratio of Index Option is at 1.36 as against 1.28.
Please do not trade without STOP LOSS.
With Best Wishes,
Ketan Asher.

Thursday, November 12, 2009

TURNING POINTS FOR 13.11.2009


Charts: SBI - SAIL - RELIANCE


Charts: MARUTI - ICICI BANK - NIFTY FUTURE EOD


NIFTY FUTURE 30 MIN
NIFTY FUTURE :
In today's trade Nifty Future opened flat at yesterday's level and after lackluster performance for the better part of the day, made a low of 4917 and closed little higher at 4953.
In tommorrow's trading, Nifty Future has to go above 5050 to gain strength. Nifty Future will be weak only below 4900 and in that case it can go down upto 4835.
Short positon in Nifty Future should be considered below 4900 with stop loss of 4930 and target of 4835 as it could act as a strong support level.
Buy position in Nifty future should be considered above 5010 with stop loss of 4965 and target of 5050. If Nifty Future manages to go above 5050, there will be a strong up move in view of short covering.
Put Call Ratio of Nifty Future remained at 1.28 as against 1.33 yesterday.
Please do not trade without STOP LOSS.
With Best Wishes,
Ketan Asher.


TURNING POINTS FOR 13.11.2009


TP GRID A-K / TP GRID L -Z

TURNING POINTS GRID is based on simple idea and my experience of using it profitably for some time now. This can be used by day trader/Positional trader and an investor by referring to the relevant time frame. It can also be used for Mechanical Trading.

Effective today, I will be updating this Grid daily and hope that the readers of the blog will find it useful. I am sure, a person referring it daily will know the basis of its preparation and hence should not be construed as a great discovery. In any case I discuss it in my workshops. The important part for you will be:

1. To believe that these are not just some numbers to confuse/impress the reader. You can test it as paper trades till such time you are convinced about its utility.
2. If it passes your due diligence test, put it to profitable use. And there lies the smartness.

I will be using Spot prices for FNO stocks and Nifty Future/Bank Nifty Future so that it can be useful to wider audience, Those trading the same items in FNO should suitably adjust the price difference between cash and future price.

Given below is the methodology of how to use the TURNING POINT GRID.

Abbreviations used : Current Market Price – CMP, market – any stock or index

1. Generally speaking when CMP is above C and/or D and/or G market can be considered bullish and upward push will be more. Converesly, if CMP is below C and/or D and/or G market can be considered bearish and downward push will be more.
2. Initiate buy trade when CMP moves above H & L. Converesly, initiate sell trade when CMP moves below H & L .
3. C, G, K & O should be used as support/resistance levels.
4. A – B, E – F, I – J, M – N should be used as support/resistance levels.
5. D, H and L will also act as good support/resistance points.
6. If L is lower than H, your Stop Loss must have triggered. That's what the Stop Loss is meant for. Now buy that scrip only when CMP is higher than H & L.
7. When CMP is lower than L, but higher than H, aggresive traders can trail it with tight Stop Loss. Real weakness will come when CMP is below H & L both. As per the system you can go short at that time – of course with a STOP LOSS.
8. Never concentrate on one stock, however much you may like it. Depending on the size of your trading portfolio, one should not exceed 5 to 10 stocks. As a rule of thumb you can even keep 10% of your trading portfolio.
9. As no system is 100% perfect, use of Stop Loss is inevitable. The stop loss % should vary between 1 to 3 % depending on individual risk profile and trade duration.
10. Once you are in a successful trade, you can either trail the profit or square off your position profitably at the support/resistance points referred in 4 above or the moment you are happy with the profit.

I do not claim that this is the final method for successful trading. I am sure there will be many systems better than the one given above and hence I will not respond to any communication on the merits/demerits of the same. In case you do not find it profitable - simply ignore it and keep searching for the MASTER KEY. However, If you find it profitable do tell me and also share it with your friends.

Please feel free to write to me at turningpoints.in@gmail.com, if you need any further clarification for putting it to profitable use.

With Best Wishes for profitable trading,

Ketan Asher.

WORDS OF WISDOM
You can break the rules and get away with it.
Eventually, the rules break you for not respecting them.